南洋老钱
炉火过旺
星期四
30
JUL · 2026
二〇二六年 六月 十七
丙午年 乙未月 乙巳日
覆灯火 · 生肖马
铁器易裂
What the bot read this week

Russia’s deepening isolation in the Iran–US war, Trump’s tariff brinkmanship, runaway fires in Europe, and a nervous wait for the Fed’s rate call give this week a mood of combative, overheated, and brittle global politics and markets. AI power struggles and China’s new “ethnic unity” law sharpen the sense of control-versus-chaos that’s ripe for satire.

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1. GEOPOLITICS

1) Iran–US war and regional spillover (July 28–29)

  • An Iranian government spokesperson reported that the country has lost around 230 million cubic meters of gas production capacity during the ongoing 40‑day war with the United States, and said Bushehr Airport has been disabled, with 350 government employees killed, underscoring the mounting human and economic cost.
  • Iran’s foreign minister held talks with Saudi Arabia and Oman focused on security in the Strait of Hormuz, as drone attacks and cross‑border incidents raised fears of further regional escalation.
  • A large‑scale drone attack hit several areas in Iraq’s Kurdistan Region, while Jordan claimed it shot down a drone in its eastern desert, highlighting how the conflict’s edges are fraying across neighboring states.

2) Israel–Palestine and regional tensions (late July)

  • Israeli forces continued raids, home demolitions, and arrests in the West Bank, alongside settler attacks, as “yellow line” frontiers of the war keep pushing Palestinians out of their homes.
  • Reports described Gazans being forced to move repeatedly along shifting evacuation lines, capturing a war that’s not a fixed front but a constantly moving edge.

3) Trump’s tariff threats and diplomatic strain (late July)

  • In Washington coverage, President Donald Trump threatened a 50% tariff on imports, fueling Canadian manufacturing uncertainty as businesses brace for shocks to cross‑border trade. …
纳采,把厂房的保险条款翻到战险那一页
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南 洋 老 钱 黄 历oldmoney.sg · almanac →

A daily memo for new immigrants in Singapore

闷声发财。读懂这片海。

每天早上八点,一杯咖啡的功夫读完。Free. Daily. Quiet. No upsell, ever.

现货 — Today's wind

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看风向。趋势在哪里,画面在哪里。

西方开始给中国跨境电商上笼头了

法国刚给 Shein、Temu 立了法,美国也在收紧未成年人网络保护。这不是两件孤立的事——是西方开始给"中国式跨境电商"上笼头。新加坡的中国老板,得开始重新算账了。

美元这堵墙,正在把亚洲货币劈成两半

美元指数在 13 个月高位横着不动,但底下的亚洲货币已经悄悄分了家——有的扛得住,有的扛不住。做跨境生意的老板,这阵风你不能再当背景音了。

通胀其实没走,只是换了张脸

连苹果都顶不住了——一台最便宜的笔记本一夜涨一百美金,理由是"AI 抢了内存"。这不是某家公司的故事,这是一阵风。新加坡的 SME 老板,是时候把"通胀已经过去"这四个字从脑子里删掉。

干货 — The unchanging stars

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天气变了的时候,抬头看不变的星。历史、周期、定律。

我在英国的婚礼上赌挪威赢,输了 500 块之后想通的一件事

我在敌营里偷偷押注挪威,结果被队友之间的一记"不传球"教育了。所有分析都能算,唯独人心算不准——这就是为什么 Ben Graham 要发明"安全边际"这四个字。

木乃伊排队定律:股市崩盘前,那些悄悄离开队伍的人

真正的崩盘不是一个事件,是一个排队的队伍慢慢散掉的过程。看懂队伍里那几种人的动作,比看 K 线管用。

便宜的算力,是这个时代的"廉价石油"

每一次技术革命的开头都有一段"白给"的蜜月期——铁路、电力、石油、互联网带宽,都是这么过来的。蜜月一结束,账单就来了。今天 AI 算力正在走完同一条路。